Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (13)

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Had a so-so Wk 12 w/my Phins winning big over NE, however lowly WAS imploded vs the hapless Cowboys in an important div matchup for WAS. That killed 2 of my plays, as DAL’s ill-advised kick return TD off an onside kick torpedoed my Teaser (which wouldn’t have happened if Seibert didn’t miss the gm-tying PAT). MIN was taken to OT by CHI off an improbable comeback from Caleb Williams, & my MNF play w/LAC also lost thanks to Herbert’s continued failures in 2nd half of gms. SEA thankfully took care of ARI in a sloppy gm in the rain to help me come out ahead. Thanksgiving was a winning day for the Worm as CHI & DAL performed as expected, also helping me win my Teaser, while emotions got the best of me w/my only loss being MIA continuing their woeful play in cold weather (21 missed tackles!!).

Regular Season POW 6-6, Teasers 10-4, GOY 1-0, Overall 32-31-4

MIN -3 ½
is on a 4-gm win streak & 1 gm back of 11-1 DET amazingly. They return hm off a 3-gm rd trip where both “O” & “D” struggled @ times. MIN has performed better @ hm on both sides of the ball, w/the lone blemish being their tilt vs magma-hot DET, going 4-1 SU/ATS. They now host ARI, who is in a SEA sandwich which can’t be overlooked because they’re tied w/SEA for the West. Murray passes for a paltry 5.4 ypa vs zone which MIN uses 80% of the time, & he struggles against the blitz & 2-high safeties, a staple of the Flores “D”. Oh, & MIN allows the lowest rypc to QBs, so they’ll contain his running like SEA did last wk. ARI’s run gm has fallen off a cliff & now faces MIN’s #1 run “D” that has only allowed 5 TDs to RBs, also the best in the league. This is all critical because MIN’s only weakness is vs the pass (#28). ARI “D” has improved, but they’ve allowed 20, 42, 34, & 27 pts so far to good “O”s & teams outside their div. They’re also very weak vs WRs, so Jefferson, Addison & Nailor should make hay here. MIN will score, while ARI should have a difficult time moving the ball w/Murray likely needing to carry the load, which never equates to a win for ARI.

ARI 16
MIN 30
6 Units


GL to all & comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

3 Units DEN -5 ½:
DEN is an incredibly balanced team rt now as Payton has them humming on both sides of the ball. CLE is off long wk beating PIT in the snow bowl last Thurs, however Payton has familiarity w/his old QB Winston & has to be giving his talented “D” & All-World CB Surtain the inside intel. Jeudy returns to DEN so he’ll be motivated to do well, but Surtain will likely be on him for most of the gm, & talented WR Tillman is out. LT Wills is also out for CLE, so DEN will add to their #1 lead in sacks. CLE’s pass “D” is their strength, but they’re dead last in pypc & #24 in rating allowed, so Nix should continue his strong rookie campaign.

1 Unit ATL ML (@ even): ATL off the bye & still leading the South somehow, & LAC going cross-country off a short wk & multiple injuries to their “D”. LA also had to put RB Dobbins on IR leaving run duties to the less explosive Edwards. ATL “D” not very good, but ATL’s “O” should be able to move the ball w/3 starters on LA’s “D” out (surging LB Henley also a GTD w/bad calf).

1 Unit TB/CAR Over 46 ½: Young improving, Hubbard a very good runner, TB getting healthier on “O”, familiarity w/both coaching staffs as Canales faces old team for 1st time. It also helps that TB could possibly cover this # on their own.

2 Unit Teaser:

TB +7
NOR +15 ½
BUF +7
DEN +7 ½
 

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W. Pix....here's to a winning weekend my friend....
BOL with all your action....
on Minn. and Den. with you.....sweep'em......indy
 

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BOL Wormy on your plays today as I like a couple of these myself and stay hot my friend !
 

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I agree with you all of your picks but Atlanta, the Chargers could have won last week, the lack of blantant pass interference call was atrocious.
 

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Good luck buddy- I’m on AZ today though- just a gut feeling their D has a good game and gets a couple of turnovers. Like your other picks though!
 

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BOL Wormy on your plays today as I like a couple of these myself and stay hot my friend !
Thanks buddy. I saw that we're in agreement on a bunch. I asked you about CLE on your thread. DEN's "D" should feast on Famous Jameis. BOL to you too!
I agree with you all of your picks but Atlanta, the Chargers could have won last week, the lack of blantant pass interference call was atrocious.
True, but did you see Herbert's 1st half #s to his 2nd half #s? Rating, yds, comp % almost get cut in half. And now no Dobbins. And w/Perryman, Hart & Gilman out on "D", Cousins should have some windows. Thanks for stopping by Smart$, I post here to talk football so feel free to bring up your thoughts.
Good luck buddy- I’m on AZ today though- just a gut feeling their D has a good game and gets a couple of turnovers. Like your other picks though!
ARI's "D" is playing well. I like HC Gannon, who's a nice "D" mind. But Darnold has been scoring against good "D"s, like CHI last wk. And if Murray can't stay on the field, that's where ARI will wear down on other side of the ball. GL on the rest of your plays, Jax! Lol.
 

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Dang Jax, you called it perfectly. MIN got outcoached by ARI today as Murray attacked the short passes & MIN couldn't stop the run. Then Aaron Jones looked like he had $ on ARI today too! Lol. Great call.
 

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